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Catalyst Report - Event Analysis - How COVID-19 Affected The Stock Market Sectors

How COVID-19 Affected The Stock Market Sectors

Feb 19, 2020

859 days after event

The stock market took a huge hit due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Kind of scary to see how the whole market dumped within a few days. Some sectors recovered faster than others (like Technology and Comm.)

Here's a brief timeline for you to follow around COVID-19 leading up to the event.

First covid case was announce in 2019-12-31
January 9 — WHO Announces Mysterious Coronavirus-Related Pneumonia in Wuhan, China
January 21 — CDC Confirms First US Coronavirus Case
January 31 — WHO Issues Global Health Emergency
February 3 — US Declares Public Health Emergency
February 10 — China’s COVID-19 Deaths Exceed Those of SARS Crisis
March 11 — WHO Declares COVID-19 a Pandemic
March 13 — Trump Declares COVID-19 a National Emergency

Basic Materials

Feb 19, 2020

Consumer Cyclical

Feb 19, 2020

Consumer Defensive

Feb 19, 2020

Communication Services

Feb 19, 2020

Energy

Feb 19, 2020

Financial Services

Feb 19, 2020

Industrials

Feb 19, 2020

Real Estate

Feb 19, 2020

Technology

Feb 19, 2020

Utilities

Feb 19, 2020

Average Price Movement

These two diagrams show XLB, XLY, XLP, XTL, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLRE, XLK, XLU price movement for the choosen 10 events. From this graph, you can see the historic highs/lows/average in percentage change for this particular event.

Event
30D After
Event Day
1D After
3Ds After
7Ds After
30Ds After

Max Change

+1.12%
+0.29%
-10.08%
-16.47%

Avg Change

+0.06%
-3.49%
-12.76%
-29.30%

Min Change

-1.04%
-7.26%
-17.47%
-48.44%
Predicted Price Movement Range
See Price Action After

This chart shows the predicted upside and downside range to 3 degrees of certainty, based on historical price movements. We expect based on a 99% chance that the price will fluctuate between -14.47% and -11.05% in the next 7 day(s). As well, we also expect - based on a 68% accuracy, that the price will fluctuate between -13.43% and -12.10% in the next 7 day(s).

Prediction Confidence
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